MeterMath

Heat pump North Carolina

Heat pump vs gas heating cost in North Carolina

$159 a year saved by heating a typical North Carolina home with a heat pump instead of a gas furnace.

A typical home here burns about 306 therms of gas a year for heat, about $520 at the national average of $1.70/therm. A heat pump would use about 2,382 kWh instead, $361 at 15.16¢/kWh. Electricity would have to pass 21.8¢/kWh before gas became the cheaper way to heat.

How you heat now
therms/yr
 
$/therm
 
¢/kWh
 
Efficiency, upfront cost and rebates
%
Older furnaces 78 to 80, new 90 to 97.
 
$
Heat pumps also replace your AC.
$
State, utility or HEAR rebates.

How North Carolina compares

Ranked by yearly saving against gas, North Carolina is 11th of 51. At U.S. average figures a heat pump saves $27 a year. North Carolina has the 16th cheapest residential electricity of the 50 states and DC, near the middle, at 15.16¢/kWh, 17% below the U.S. average of 18.31¢.

Winters here are mild, with an estimated 3,400 heating degree days a year, so the calculator uses a seasonal COP of 3.2: each kWh of electricity delivers 3.2 kWh of heat.

Against propane the heat pump saves $483 a year, against heating oil it saves $915 a year, and against electric baseboard heat it saves $795 a year.

Heating nowNow, per yearHeat pumpDifference
Natural gas furnace$520$361$159
Propane furnace$844$362$483
Oil furnace$1,276$362$915
Electric baseboard$1,156$361$795

One of its four neighbors does better against gas: Tennessee at $211 a year saved.

StateElectricitySaving vs gas a year
Tennessee13.71¢$211
North Carolina15.16¢$159
South Carolina15.47¢$112
Georgia16.27¢$98
Virginia17.55¢$51

More for North Carolina

What these numbers assume

  • A heating load estimated from about 3,400 heating degree days a year: 306 therms of gas, 335 gallons of propane, 235 gallons of oil or 7,623 kWh of baseboard heat.
  • Natural gas at $1.70/therm, the U.S. city average for September 2026. Gas prices vary a lot by state and utility, so enter the price per therm from your bill.
  • Propane at $2.52 and heating oil at $5.43 a gallon, EIA forecasts for winter 2026–27.
  • Furnaces 85% efficient (oil 80%), and a heat pump with a seasonal COP of 3.2.
  • No federal tax credit: Section 25C ended for equipment placed in service after December 31, 2025.

Change any of them in the calculator above to match your own bills. The formulas are on the main heat pump calculator.

Sources

  • Electricity price: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (July 2026 data).
  • Natural gas: BLS U.S. city average, September 2026.
  • Propane and heating oil: EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook winter forecast, October 2026.
  • Heating degree days: MeterMath rounded estimate for the state.
  • Tax credit status: Public Law 119-21.