MeterMath

Solar payback Oklahoma

Solar panel payback in Oklahoma

13.7 years for a typical home solar system in Oklahoma to pay for itself, with no federal tax credit.

A 9.0 kW system sized for the average home here, which uses 1,066 kWh a month, costs about $25,200 at $2.80 per watt. It saves about $1,682 in its first year, and after 25 years it is $30,506 ahead. That is slow. The system still ends up ahead, but a higher quote or a shaded roof could erase most of the gain.

¢/kWh
 
kWh
 
kW
 
$/W
2026 quotes average $2.60 to $3.00.
$
Rebates or state tax credits.
% of retail
 
Output, rate increases and upkeep
kWh/kW
 
%
The rest goes to the grid. Higher if you are home by day.
%
U.S. prices rose 5% in the past year.
%
$
Set to 0 if your inverter warranty runs 25 years.

How Oklahoma compares

Oklahoma ranks 32nd of 51 for solar payback, fastest first. The fastest is Hawaii at 5.9 years. At U.S. average figures, payback is 12.3 years.

Two things set payback: what each kWh is worth and how many the panels make. Oklahoma ranks 42nd for electricity price, most expensive first, at 14.35¢/kWh, and 8th for sunshine, at an estimated 1,500 kWh a year per kW of panels. Strong sun helps, but with power below the U.S. average price, each kWh the panels make saves less.

The calculator assumes power sent to the grid earns 75% of the retail price, typical of net metering. Your utility's tariff sets the real rate, and a lower credit slows payback.

Five of its six neighbors pay back faster: Colorado, Kansas, Missouri, New Mexico and Texas, led by New Mexico at 10.1 years.

StateElectricitySun, kWh/kWPayback
New Mexico16.09¢1,75010.1 yrs
Colorado17.00¢1,55010.8 yrs
Texas15.88¢1,50012.5 yrs
Missouri16.09¢1,35013.5 yrs
Kansas15.27¢1,45013.5 yrs
Oklahoma14.35¢1,50013.7 yrs
Arkansas14.33¢1,35014.9 yrs

More for Oklahoma

What these numbers assume

  • A 9.0 kW system, sized to cover about 100% of a typical home's yearly use.
  • $2.80 per watt installed, paid in cash, with no state or local incentives entered.
  • No federal tax credit: Section 25D ended for systems placed in service after December 31, 2025.
  • Half the output used in the home as it is made; the rest credited at 75% of the retail price.
  • Electricity prices rising 3% a year, panels losing 0.5% of output a year, and a $2,000 inverter replacement in year 12.

Change any of them in the calculator above to match your own bills. The formulas are on the main solar payback calculator.

Sources

  • Electricity price: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A (July 2026 data).
  • Household use: EIA 2025 retail sales divided by customers.
  • Installed cost: 2026 residential marketplace averages.
  • Output per kW: MeterMath estimate for a south-facing fixed roof system, rounded.
  • Export credit: MeterMath assumption for typical net metering.
  • Tax credit status: Public Law 119-21.